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2024-12-14 12:31:43

Payment licenses have been cancelled for a total of 94 times, and 9 payment institutions "left the site" during the year. Recently, Kaidianbao Payment Service Co., Ltd. issued the Notice on Suspension of Payment Business, saying that it would withdraw and clean up the existing stock business in an orderly manner. According to the list of cancelled payment institutions updated by official website, People's Bank of China, as of December 13 this year, 94 payment licenses have been confirmed to be cancelled, and the number of payment licenses cancelled this year is 9. (Securities Daily)Zhongjin's fixed income: the financing demand is weak under the background of debt conversion, and the monetary policy needs to continue to increase. Zhongjin's fixed income commented on the financial data in November, saying that it is expected that the currency will be loose or significantly accelerated next year, while the short-term interest rate may have a large downside. Under the background of slow real estate recovery, the domestic economy has stabilized relatively moderately, and the long-term interest rate has been affected or relatively limited. Next year, monetary and fiscal cooperation will be closer, and the supply factor of government bonds may not have much disturbance to the long end. Recently, the market has fully priced loose expectations, and the long-term interest rate has dropped rapidly. Next year, with the RRR cut, the short-term interest rate will fall or accelerate, and the yield curve will move down sharply.Minsheng Securities: In 2025, the banking sector grasped three main lines. The Minsheng Securities Research Report pointed out that it is expected that the revenue growth rate of listed banks will remain under pressure and profits will maintain positive growth in 2025. Restricted by factors such as the slowdown of scale expansion, the pressure of narrowing the net interest margin, and the marginal reduction of the contribution of financial investment to revenue, there is still pressure on the year-on-year growth of listed banks' revenue in 2025. However, with the gradual progress of local debt resolution, the real estate package policy has gradually become effective, and the hidden risks of banks in real estate and urban investment assets are expected to be effectively alleviated, and banks can maintain a low level of impairment provision, which supports profit performance. Grasp three main lines: 1) low-valued stock banks: it is recommended to pay attention to China Merchants Bank, Industrial Bank and Shanghai Pudong Development Bank; 2) High-quality rural commercial banks in regional cities: banks benefiting from chemical bonds. It is recommended to pay attention to Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, Chongqing Bank and regional high-quality banks, and Qilu Bank, Chengdu Bank, Changshu Bank and Hangzhou Bank. 3) High dividend banks: In the process of economic recovery, high dividend strategy has absolute income stability, so it is suggested to pay attention to state-owned big banks, Nanjing Bank and Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank.


At the end of November, China's broad money balance increased by 7.1% year-on-year, and the growth rate was basically stable. According to the data released by the People's Bank of China on the 13th, the growth rate of China's broad money (M2) was basically stable at the end of November, and the scale of social financing increased reasonably. In terms of money supply, at the end of November, the balance of broad money (M2) was 311.96 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%. Excluding the influence of the high base in 2023, the average growth rate of broad money (M2) was 8.6% at the end of November in 2023 and 2024. Maintain a reasonable and sufficient liquidity. In terms of financing scale, at the end of November, the stock of social financing scale was 405.6 trillion yuan, up 7.8% year-on-year, which basically matched the expected targets of economic and social growth and price level. Among them, the balance of RMB loans to the real economy was 251.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%; The balance of government bonds was 79.33 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2%.Nasdaq 100 Index announced the annual adjustment results of constituent stocks: Palantir, MicroStrategy and Axon will be added to the index, while Illumina, supercomputer and Moderna will be removed.Bitcoin futures rose more than 1.4% on Friday, and spot bitcoin hit the longest consecutive week for more than three years. At the end of Friday (December 13th) in new york, the main contract of CME Bitcoin futures BTC was USD 102,000, up 1.43% from the end of new york on Thursday, and it fell by 0.58% this week, and fell to USD 94,640 on December 10th. Spot bitcoin has risen by 0.68% in the last seven natural days, rising for the seventh consecutive week-investors are keeping a close eye on the potential regulatory stance of US President-elect Trump, the longest consecutive week since September 2021, temporarily reporting $101,000, and fell to $94,277.11 on December 10. The main contract of CME ethereum futures DCR was reported at $3,928.00, up 0.55% from Thursday, down 3.56% this week and down to $3,498.50 on December 10th.


Market News: Asoka Ranwala, Speaker of the Sri Lankan Parliament, announced his resignation on the 13th.Extreme Yue Xia Yiping voiced: The first-line stores did not resume work and production, and 200 sales were kept in the stores. The reporter was informed that at about 20: 30 yesterday, the CEO of Extreme Yue Xia Yiping replied whether the stores resumed work on the internal communication platform of Extreme Yue, saying that "the first-line stores did not resume work and production, and our purpose was only to ensure the minimum operating needs, that is, to keep 200 sales in the stores." At about 20: 25 on the same day, six employee representatives of Jiyue Automobile entered the conference room on the third floor of the enterprise to talk with Xia Yiping about related issues. Previously, the owner's representative and Xia Yiping talked in the conference room for nearly an hour. (Shell Finance)Moody's: Political division in France is more likely to hinder meaningful fiscal consolidation.

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